Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 123.840899 143.909022 167.916473 199.274370 239.965230 2.921987e+02 366.473754
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 96.278426 119.772637 151.037048 197.426888 267.942531 3.779699e+02 580.128100
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 82.466562 107.138769 142.348631 199.473183 297.377974 4.773738e+02 901.787536
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 71.370540 95.387985 131.300394 193.310521 309.459672 5.531205e+02 1276.346106
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 66.908123 92.186991 131.964270 205.689908 359.326615 7.423144e+02 2363.290427
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 60.126871 84.309270 123.514487 199.360720 368.493224 8.433030e+02 3538.997006
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 55.772553 79.618474 119.490813 200.215318 394.203853 1.021248e+03 6473.631838
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 51.665280 74.795149 114.424721 197.660910 410.651347 1.192804e+03 12396.713259
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 50.291695 74.317232 116.998115 211.806939 479.965229 1.712221e+03 77946.573281
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 50.251287 76.072351 123.968876 238.002130 606.136925 2.998747e+03 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 47.317580 72.363044 119.684605 235.827482 634.440020 3.755537e+03 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 45.238121 69.992350 117.768122 239.292810 688.733487 5.238909e+03 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 42.233464 65.878994 112.205528 233.112680 705.895970 6.661815e+03 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 39.775899 62.611093 108.108380 230.373031 740.840337 9.384919e+03 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 37.977854 60.416838 106.016539 232.918227 807.842492 1.609134e+04 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 35.678766 57.057175 100.930657 225.204290 812.789631 2.164290e+04 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 35.070042 56.927621 103.070541 240.724055 983.033528 9.993473e+04 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 33.132854 54.001762 98.399759 232.776341 985.829999 1.929051e+05 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 31.869379 52.333125 96.498583 233.847908 1063.091474 2.842336e+06 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 30.489585 50.327330 93.570864 230.646444 1104.467959 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 30.234475 50.597269 96.185834 248.430748 1384.347932 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 30.549766 52.077889 102.058306 281.709111 1999.828207 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 29.391811 50.328569 99.369795 278.929724 2117.157792 NaN NaN